Domestic support for a second Scottish independence referendum is rising with the likelihood of Nicola Sturgeon announcing it at the same time as Brexit pushes off in March. Though it’s unlikely (?) to be held until 2019. Scotland voted substantially for remaining and the SNP wants to move into the EU if they win. Though the economic arguments are, if anything, worse than they were in 2014 for the previous referendum which voted 55-45 against. And the SNP’s record of running the NHS, schools, police and budget since they took over responsibility in 2007 is the subject of ongoing criticism. One argument is that Scotland could end up like Greece, and that’s if they could make the financial criteria for entry, which would require more fiscal discipline than has been obvious in the past.
The Act of Union between Scotland and England got under way on 1 May 1707 JC. In 2014 for the first referendum tr Saturn was opposition the Taurus Sun. There is certainly huge pressure on this chart in 2018/19/20 with tr Pluto opposition Mars, trine Sun and then square Neptune – so it will be a bitter fight. Tr Pluto square Neptune in 2019/20 could point to a devastating end to the Act of Union, but on the other hand it’s an enormously fixed, enduring chart with a Taurus Sun square Pluto Jupiter – and won’t break apart easily.
Nicola Sturgeon’s term chart, 12 May 2016 9.35am Edinburgh, does have a powerfully confident Earth Grand Trine of Pluto trine Jupiter trine Venus, Mercury (and Sun) in Taurus; but that forms into a Kite with Jupiter opposition Neptune, making idealistic, visionary, delusionary Neptune the driving planet. Plus there’s a very wobbly and impatient T square of Jupiter opposition Neptune square Saturn Mars in Sagittarius. Tr Neptune is undermining that T square from this April to the end of 2018, so the Holyrood government will be in less than ideal shape.
Her personal chart is under very muddled influences. She has tr Saturn moving through her 2nd house till 2018 which is usually not successful; with tr Neptune opposition her Sun/Jupiter, Uranus/MC and Mars/Jupiter midpoints and Solar Arc Sun through to January 2018 – and then opposition Solar Arc Mars through till 2020. Her Progressed Moon is going through her 12th till autumn 2018 which is often a time of being held back. And tr Pluto will trine her Saturn for a discouraging and tough slog through 2018/19.
On the upside she has tr Uranus trine her MC in April and tr Saturn also trine through the year – so a change of direction which could be positive. She’s also got tr Uranus square her Cancer Sun from May onwards and tr Uranus opposes her Jupiter through 2018 which will be upbeat and lucky. She’ll also get a lift from tr Jupiter moving across her Ascendant from November this year for a year thereafter. Her Solar Arc Mercury is conjunct her Pluto now and her Solar Arc Pluto squares her Mercury in 2018 – so she’ll be arguing fiercely.
There’s nothing that looks like ‘a whoopee we’ve done it’ moment. If a recession strikes with the Saturn Pluto in Capricorn picking up through 2018 into 2019 it will make the economic arguments for separation even less palatable.