18 Indian soldiers died in the raid on a Kashmir base recently, the worst such attack in more than two decades. It is blamed on Pakistan who hotly deny it but it has heightened tensions between the two nuclear-armed neighbours. Indian PM Narendra Modi is under pressure from his own party and his own past rhetoric to take decisive action. So far he’s holding back mindful of the risks of war, damaging India’s fast growing economy and causing international alarm. But he is set to boycott what was to be a historic regional summit in Islamadad in November, a symbol of reconciliation, which is a humiliating diplomatic blow to Pakistan.
Previous Indo-Pak wars in 1965, 1971 were launched on Saturn Pluto aspects – 1965 on Saturn opposition Uranus Pluto; and 1971 with Saturn trine Pluto trine Node. Indeed the initial 1947 war was fought on the Saturn Pluto conjunction in Leo. There’s nothing similar until 2018/19. But there is a good deal of insecurity and high risk on both country charts and their relationship chart come early 2017 running right through the year.
Nothing will resolve quickly with a slide in confidence running through till January; then at least angry words flying, if not violent incidents from February onwards.
Narendra Modi’s PM chart looks very bullish through this December and across 2017, which may push him into going several steps too far.