The what-comes-next question looms large over the Syrian conflict and not just in Syria. Iran is now claiming to be the dominant power in the Middle East and Russia may well find despite its ‘triumph’ in Syria, that it is rapidly pushed to one side. One real possibility is that Hezbollah whose fighters have been under the wing of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard in Syria continue to set up bases in Golan and southern Syria. Intelligence commentators says that if Assad manages to stay in power, he will likely have to surrender control of the Golan to Iran and Hezbollah. “Indeed… Hezbollah and Iran plan to connect the Golan Heights to the terror group’s South Lebanon stronghold — to make it one contiguous front against Israel.”
The relationship charts between Israel and Iran 7 October 1906 and 1 Feb 1979 – and between the Iran charts and Russia/ USA – would point to 2018/19 being the flash point where tensions escalate.
There’ll be rumblings and posturing through 2017, but 2018 is when there’s a major turnaround in relations. The same goes for the Hezbollah/Israel relationship chart.