China having pushed the Trump-tariff offensive to one side without blinking, is surrounding Taiwan in a simulation blockade and talking up China’s future role in global governance. Xi’s third five-year term of office expires in 2027 and he has given no hint that he has any intention to step down.
The policy ahead seems to be relying on its export-led growth model in steel making and toy manufacturing and also future technologies, such as robotics and artificial intelligence.
But even as trade surplus hit $1tn in 2025 there are vulnerabilities in the domestic economy. ‘A prolonged property market slowdown has undermined local government finances, household sentiment and domestic demand, leading to deflation and falling wages. Policymakers are trying to balance keeping the country’s export machine running while issuing ever more debt to prop up the weakening domestic economy.’ The IMF’s managing director, Kristalina Georgieva, said that such a large country cannot survive on exports alone.
The aim of the leadership is to build “an economic fortress”, achieving self-reliance in everything from food to tech but keeping trade open for Chinese exports and to absorb foreign technology. It also plans to fortify its export machine by setting up factories in other countries. Its main focus is tackling the USA, on the assumption the EU will fall in behind.
In addition to rare earths, another of China’s supply chain chokeholds from a western perspective are active pharmaceutical ingredients used to make medicines.
Of all the relevant charts the most striking is the Bank of China, 1 December 1948, which has worked well in the past. It has a bubble-bursting tr Saturn Neptune square the Mars Jupiter conjunction in Capricorn this year and next (for Neptune) with the Solar Arc Neptune also rapidly approaching a conjunction to Mars Jupiter. All of that suggests a financial meltdown from over confidence or an unsustainable debt burden hitting crunch point. At the moment tr Neptune is in a nerve-stretched square to the Uranus so the cracks are beginning to show; with tensions erupting in a major way after mid 2026 into 2027.
The China 1 January 1912 chart, no time, shows late 2027 into 2028 as fairly calamitous as the Solar Arc Uranus makes an explosive conjunction to the Mars in Taurus (so could be finance related or a conflict). Before then tr Uranus opposition the Jupiter mid 2026 into 2027 will provide a dash of luck.
Relations with the USA this year will be edgy but the real friction will come in 2027/8 with tr Uranus conjunct the composite Mars. The EU is never on good terms with China and vice versa with a composite Mars Saturn at zero/one degree Pisces which is being rattled this year – so there will be flare ups. With Russia there will be moments of aggravation as Uranus moves into Gemini in April and continuing upheavals for several years ahead.
Xi Jinping’s 3rd Term, 23 October 2022 5.08pm Beijing, for all his trumpet blowing does look stuck with the Solar Arc Pluto closing the square to the Sun to exact within months – which could ramp up his need to be in control, but usually does not end well. Tr Saturn Neptune will also oppose the 6th house Moon through 2026, hinting at a discontented populace and government workers, perhaps health issues.
His original presidency chart from 14 March 2013 11.51 am, hints at an unstable 2027 with sudden surprises sending him off course.
His own personal chart, 15 June 1953, with his Mars at zero degrees Cancer assailed by tr Saturn Neptune in square and his Solar Arc Saturn Neptune in opposition to his Mars throughout 2026 does not look progressive and successful, anything but.
A stray thought – the China 1912 chart and the EU and UK all have a 9 degree Capricorn Sun which will not appreciate the tr Neptune square in 2029. No great conclusions and not warlike, just droopy.
I am sorry if you posted this comment, because I flagged it. It does not seem to have sparked much of a response but I do think it is important on this side of the Eurasian continent.
The CCP certainly see Britain as the weak under belly of Europe and wish to exploit it for reasons best known to themselves
I believe there is a connection of Japan of 1989 and China today. In the late 1980s Japan was the workshop of the world riding on a bubble economy. It came to a shattering halt with the stock market plunging, inflated property values deflating, with borrowers struggling to repay mortgages and the banks, which straddled the world, transformed into zombie banks holding lots of worthless mortgages.
To this date Japan has not recovered, but lurches from deflation to ‘normality’ and back again with sluggish economic growth.
Perhaps China has reached this stage in its economic development and will follow a similar path.