Canada goes to the polls on the 28th one day after the tense, aggravated Mars opposition Pluto which will still be in effect. The run into polling will bring hostile debates and a heated mood with much at stake.
Pierre Poilievre should have been a shoe-in after Justic Trudeau’s limp performance but the Trump-effect with wild claims about annexing Canada have brought Mark Carney, Trudeau’s replacement, to the fore since he is seen as better equipped to handle the surreal situation.
There is only one birth time and nothing too obvious appears on any of the main charts; with the exception of a fortunate/confident tr Jupiter conjunct the Sun/Mars midpoint on Carney’s chart at the election which is minor. And equally minor Saturn transits to midpoints over the election and the days thereafter putting a damper on his mood. Carney, born 16 March 1965, 7.56am Fort Smith, NT, Canada, is a Sun, Venus, Saturn in Pisces with Uranus, Moon, Pluto, Mars in Virgo, so more volatile than he looks. Plus a high finance Jupiter in Taurus opposition Neptune.
His relationship with Canada indicates he is seen as being helpful in times of hardship. His relationship with Trump will be explosive from mid May onwards and on and off into early 2026; and if anything more infuriated and hostile through 2026/27.
Pierre Poilievre, the only other politician with a chance of forming a government, 3 June 1979, is a Sun Gemini square Neptune and square Saturn; with Venus Mars in Taurus opposition Uranus. He does have a yod of Pluto sextile Neptune inconjunct Venus, which has Solar Arc Jupiter square Neptune at the moment – hinting at a life-changing phase. Though Jupiter Neptune can go either way which is no help. His midpoints are blocked over the election and through May with a glimmering of luck from mid May onwards. Nothing conclusive.
His relationship with Trump hints at an ongoing struggle for the upper hand as an essential part of their chemistry with more stand offs in 2026/27 than immediately.
Jagmeet Singh, 2 January 1979, an intensely determined Sun Mars in Capricorn square Pluto has a lucky tr Uranus square his Jupiter/Node midpoint from late May through June and later into 2026. 2026/27 will seem him powering ahead with confidence with tr Pluto opposition his Jupiter.
His relationship with Canada is cool and workmanlike, rather than popular – and with Trump he looks increasingly up in arms into 2026 and onwards.
Yves-Francois Blanchet, 14 April 1965, is a charming Sun Venus in Aries with the over-hopeful Jupiter in Taurus opposition Neptune; and the volatile Mars Pluto Uranus in Virgo opposition Saturn.
He has tr Uranus conjunct his Jupiter late May into June which like Poilievre could go either way – since it was what collapsed Boris Johnson. His relationship with Trump is hostile at best and more challenged than usual over the next two years.
All of which adds up to no clarity whatsoever on the election.
Closing time for the polls (used 7 pm in Vancouver) puts the decision a Libra Ascendant ruled by the 29° Pisces Venus. That’s a pretty bad start. The degree that Wagner mutinied, that degree is notorious for its over before its even begun.
Venus is conjunct Neptune and Saturn. A brake and falling apart. The banger is still mostly on the road and in operation.
And wow, what an opposition, the Leo Mars on the Midheaven opposing the Aquarius Pluto. Watch what the opposition is saying. Aries Mercury. This is very important and gains importance over the term.
The progressed chart shows the Taurus Moon has already moved into Gemini (now ruled by what the opposition is saying) around August 1 this year. Average Canadians are moving on from where they were at the election. From my wealth to my neighbor. That would be a collapse from where we are now. 29° Pisces in action.
Carney’s Sun is conjunct the north node and near that Venus. That looks like the Liberals will win.
The progressed chart shows it doesn’t take long though and the opposition, probably the Conservatives, are going to be the major actor of the election in the role of Leo Mars on the Midheaven.
By January 1, 2027, the Gemini Moon has progressed to the Gemini Jupiter on the symbol of weaving a blanket. Something is coming together with a neighbor.
Then at the end of the term, the progressed Venus moves into Aries ruled by that same Leo Mars.
29° Pisces strikes again.
“[Carney’s] relationship with Canada indicates he is seen as being helpful in times of hardship. His relationship with Trump will be explosive from mid May onwards and on and off into early 2026; and if anything more infuriated and hostile through 2026/27.”
Might this be fallout from Carney’s supposed role in leading a sell-off of U.S. Treasury bonds by European nations and Japan in order to force the Trump Administration to back down with its imposition of tariffs on the nations of the world?
The next G-7 Summit runs June 615-17, 2025 in Kananaskis, Alberta. Trump is expected to seek relief on sanctions applied to Russia for the invasion of Ukraine and to badger for Russia’s readmission to the fold after the G-8 of the day expelled Russia in 2014 for invading Crimea and Russian-speaking regions in Ukraine.
One can also add negotiations for a revised trade deal to amend the USMCA deal which Trump signed in 2018 involving the U.S., Canada and Mexico to the list of irritants between Carney and Trump. The USMCA is subject to a review next year.
Add-on: a new poll out this morning has support for Wexit (secession of the Canadian West) surging at 30% in each of the three Prairie provinces: Alberta, Saskatchewan and Manitoba. This will be alarming for Ontario and Ottawa, and will be exacerbated by another Liberal Central Canada win and likely Trump interference. Support for Wexit is now almost as high as for Québec sovereignty. Québec separatists have long wished for the West to go first.
British Columbia, which appears to be immune to the siren song of secession, would be isolated and may have no choice but to seek closer ties with California, Oregon and the state of Washington, all Democratic strongholds like Vermont, New York and Massachussetts bordering Québec.
The matter will crystallize over the issue of building a trans-Canada pipeline bringing Western oil and gas to the shore of the Atlantic for export to Europe. The difference between the Conservatives based in the West and the Liberals based in Ontario and Québec is that the former would impose this pipeline on a strongly resistant Québec while the latter would not. Separatist leader Blanchet has reiterated in the federal campaign Québec’s opposition to Alberta’s dirty oil. The main separatist party, the Parti Québécois, is expected to return to power in the provincial election in October 2026 on a similar platform based on Québec’s hydroelectric exports.
Carney’s main external challenge will be Trump. Internally, it will be Wexit and perhaps Québec.
British Columbia could choose to become a part of Cascadia, if the West Coast chooses to secede from the US. Or it could be forced to join the US, to give the US a a land bridge to Alaska.
I think Carney’s Venus-Saturn-Neptune transits over his Sun at 26 Pisces will get him elected with a majority government, but the race appears to be tightening somewhat. Poilievre, a Gemini who is the Canadian Trump, is meeting strong resistance like the US President as transiting Jupiter in Gemini squares Saturn, but his base in Alberta, where the greatest percentage (20%) favor joining the US in the Texas of the North, could react strongly.
Singh and Blanchet are also-rans who will likely leave politics soon, but thank you for their charts.