Hungary’s ‘illiberal democrat’ Viktor Orban has won a fourth term as PM after a vicious campaign run on ethno-nationalism and unabashed anti-semitism. He is against EU’s liberal values which Hungary signed up to at accession but wants to continue picking up the cheques. Since 2010, he and his party have curbed judicial independence, clamped down on the independent media and issued a stream of rhetoric against refugees, Brussels and George Soros. The solution would be to tie funds to adhering to EU’s values but that is unlikely to happen.
Orban, 31 may 1963, is a Sun Gemini in a square to controlling Pluto and reforming Uranus; with a harsh Mars in Leo (conjunct Uranus) opposition Saturn in Aquarius square Mercury in Taurus. He’s slippery, cruel and unbudgeable.
Hungary has had a long and complex history. The modern version was signed in at noon on 23 October 1989. [Anyone having an older chart that works I’d be grateful to know about it.]
That puts Pluto in the 10th making it likely that a dictatorial leader would emerge; with the chaotic Uranus, Saturn, Neptune in Capricorn sitting on the Ascendant sextile the Scorpio Sun and opposition Jupiter in patriotic Cancer. The emotional planets are deeply buried – a Leo Moon in the 8th trine a 12th house Venus in Sagittarius, so sentiment won’t be obvious; and the broader population’s needs won’t always be met. And there will be a hankering after the past.
Orban’s rail-roading Mars opposition Saturn sits across the Hungary Moon opposition North Node; with his Mars Uranus Pluto in the Hungary’s 8th so he keys into the country’s destiny though not in a pleasant way and is unsettling, probably corrupt, with much behind-the-scenes financial finaglings. His Neptune is also conjunct the Hungary 10th house Pluto – Neptune Pluto has a reputation for megalomania.
There’s nothing much on the EU/Hungary relationship chart or the 1 May 2004 accession chart to suggest any definitive change until the early 2020s, though there’ll be waves of unease through 2018/2019.
Neither Macron nor Merkel like Orban and there are some signs of ruptures between Merkel and Orban from this June onwards and a distinct freeze in relations but nothing too dramatic.
The Hungary chart has tr Saturn now dipping below the Ascendant and zigzagging across a Saturn return and conjunct Neptune this year, which hints that the image makeover for the country will continue in fits and starts; and that it is not moving into a financially prosperous few years ahead.
Orban’s relationship chart with Hungary has tr Uranus square the composite Saturn in May, opposition the composite Uranus in June and continues on through this year, 2019 and 2020, so it looks as though he’ll continue to push through his ‘reforms’ with some speed.
My general rule of thumb dealing with complex charts is that while ancient charts are indicative of “Faith of The Nation”, I tend to use Constitutional Charts for Internal Politics. This works the best for France (Fifth Republic Chart) and Italy (1946 Republic Chart). I usually see Communist rule as such a distruption of democracy in Eastern and Central Europe that I only give marginal importance to charts predating 1989.
For Hungary, speaking of The Faith of The Nation, I’d use Establishment of Christian Kingdom Dec 25 1000. I don’t think there’s a character as pivotal to National Identity in Europe as Szent Istvàn predating the actual idea of National State (maybe Yagellonicas in Lithuania, and Vasa Kings on Sweden, but they were many).
And, I would also make a slight exception for politics here and see how what’s happening at Hungarian Parliament relates to Foundation of Austro-Hungarian Empire, March 20th 1867, because that’s when Hungarians got their own Parliament.
As for Orban, I do not think it’s entirely impossible that Hungarians will, eventually, catch up with his corruption. Slovakia hasn’t been in much better shape democracy wise than Hungary, but it “only” took a murder by Ndgreta of a young journalist to make people’s anger boil over. Orban has a heck of a Second Saturn Return coming in a couple of years. Taurus Venus and Mercury will be hit hard.